Al Ahly 2-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Feb 2026

Al Ahly
2-0 HT 2-0
Ismaily
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Egypt - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Ahly vs Ismaily Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
70%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahly v Ismaily — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
1.84/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.27
+29% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.3 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Al Ahly vs Ismaily Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ismaily
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.33 xG 0.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
375 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
01.05.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
08.10.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-1 HT 2-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.10.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
21.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR

Al Ahly 2-0 Ismaily — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-0
AWAY Ismaily
0.66 xG 0.23
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
495 Passes 165
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly saw off Ismaily 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahly had 70% of the ball to Ismaily's 30%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ahly and 0.33 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Ismaily?

Al Ahly 2-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 72%, draw 19%, Ismaily 9%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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