Zamalek 1-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.04
+55% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
16.2 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Smouha
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
406 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSRLK
15.03.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 4-2 HT 1-2 Smouha Smouha MSRK
08.11.2024 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.10.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 5-1 HT 3-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 0-3 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-0
AWAY Smouha
0.81 xG 0.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
385 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek nicked a narrow win over Smouha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zamalek had 59% of the ball to Smouha's 41%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.81 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zamalek and 1.00 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Smouha?

Zamalek 1-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 47%, draw 31%, Smouha 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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