Zamalek 4-2 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
2.30/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+50% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +52%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.5 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Smouha
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
372 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.10.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 5-1 HT 3-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 0-3 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
19.10.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
24.07.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
4-2
AWAY Smouha
1.36 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
476 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek beat Smouha 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zamalek had 62% of the ball to Smouha's 38%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zamalek and 0.50 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Smouha?

Zamalek 4-2 Smouha in the Egypt - Cup on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 48%, draw 27%, Smouha 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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