Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 15 Mar 2025

Ghazl El Mehalla
0-1 HT 0-0
National Bank of Egypt
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Egypt - Cup – 2024/2025

Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+11.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
43%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ghazl El Mehalla v National Bank of Egypt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 48%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
215 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-4D-2L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
297 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.01.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
10.07.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
30.01.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
12.07.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
20.12.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
21.08.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.79 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
405 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day National Bank of Egypt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 51% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 49%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.79 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.17 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Cup on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 38%, draw 30%, National Bank of Egypt 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5
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