Ceramica Cleopatra 3-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1W-3D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
288 Passes 212
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
07.07.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.02.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
10.05.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 3-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
26.10.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.06.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 3-2 HT 1-2 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
3-1
AWAY El Gounah
2.21 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
387 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra saw off El Gounah 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 60% of the ball to El Gounah's 40%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 2.21 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.50 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Gounah?

Ceramica Cleopatra 3-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Cup on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 58%, draw 25%, El Gounah 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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