Zamalek 0-1 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 25 Dec 2025

📅25/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.6
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Smouha
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
385 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 4-2 HT 1-2 Smouha Smouha MSRK
08.11.2024 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.10.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 5-1 HT 3-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 0-3 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
19.10.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
0-1
AWAY Smouha
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha squeezed past Zamalek 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Smouha made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Zamalek had 57% of the ball to Smouha's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zamalek and 0.83 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Smouha?

Zamalek 0-1 Smouha in the Egypt - League Cup on 25/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 34%, draw 31%, Smouha 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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