Derby County U21 1-2 Wolverhampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.96
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.33
No
45%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
71%
-15.9pp
45%
BTTS No
29%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
1-2
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
2.55 xG 0.35
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
470 Passes 189
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Wolverhampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton U21 edged past Derby County U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Wolverhampton U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 67% of the ball to Wolverhampton U21's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.55 to 0.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Derby County U21.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Derby County U21 1-2 Wolverhampton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolverhampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 34%, draw 26%, Wolverhampton U21 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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