Manchester City U21 2-2 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.31
No
35%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
3%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.4pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.6pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.45/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.28/0.91
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
2-2
AWAY Sunderland U21
1.92 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
435 Passes 389
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 and Sunderland U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester City U21 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 53% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 47%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.92 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Manchester City U21 2-2 Sunderland U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 55%, draw 16%, Sunderland U21 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2-1 More England - Premier League 2 (League 1)
11 Mar 2024
22:00 Crystal Palace U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Analysis →
22:00 Nottingham Forest U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Analysis →
22:00 Derby County U21 vs Wolverhampton U21 Analysis →