Inter 2-1 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
19.1
X/1
20%
3.75
X/2
6%
15.35
X/X
10%
6.79
2/1
9%
22.1
2/2
9%
13.25
2/X
6%
22.1
Value flag · 1/X at 19.1 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.61/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.69
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.2 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Feyenoord
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.25 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
459 Passes 313
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2025 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-1
AWAY Feyenoord
2.09 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
501 Passes 390
91% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter nicked a narrow win over Feyenoord 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Inter had 56% of the ball to Feyenoord's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.09 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Inter vs Feyenoord?

Inter 2-1 Feyenoord in the Champions League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter 54%, draw 26%, Feyenoord 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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