Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 53% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 47%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.45 to 2.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.00 for Bayern Münih.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih?
Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern Münih in the Champions League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 24%, Bayern Münih 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.