Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
15%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
14%
6.52
X/2
12%
5.32
X/X
16%
4.75
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.19
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
1.26/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.49
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.5 Crosses 10.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
336 Passes 541
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AFK
28.09.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
10.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
15.09.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
19.03.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
30.09.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
AWAY Bayern Münih
2.16 xG 0.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
444 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Münih fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 56% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 44%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.16 to 0.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.33 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih?

Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 34%, draw 28%, Bayern Münih 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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