Union Berlin 1-2 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.88
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.25
X/1
13%
5.1
X/2
12%
7.12
X/X
9%
4.94
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
15%
4.86
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.84
-1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.6 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 1.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 471
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
28.04.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
09.12.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
23.04.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
30.10.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.01.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
1-2
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.00 xG 2.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
402 Passes 390
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Berlin had 51% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 49%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.00 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Berlin and 0.67 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Mönchengladbach?

Union Berlin 1-2 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 42%, draw 26%, Mönchengladbach 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025
17:30 Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg Analysis →
17:30 Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →
17:30 St. Pauli vs Freiburg Analysis →
20:30 Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Münih Analysis →