Stuttgart 1-2 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.93
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.35
X/2
7%
11.05
X/X
12%
6.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.3
2/2
14%
7.97
2/X
5%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
2.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.42
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.9 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
429 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
02.03.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
07.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
18.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
01.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-2 HT 2-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
30.04.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-2
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.83 xG 1.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
436 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg squeezed past Stuttgart 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stuttgart had 58% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 42%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.83 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stuttgart and 1.67 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg?

Stuttgart 1-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 47%, draw 25%, Wolfsburg 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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