Bochum 2-0 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
8.29
1/2
9%
20.1
1/X
10%
16.3
X/1
6%
11.0
X/2
14%
4.23
X/X
10%
6.28
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.93
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-12.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
1.31/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.03
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
21.0 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.07 xG 2.36
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
202 Passes 404
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-2 HT 1-2 Bochum Bochum AL1
28.01.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-1 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
26.08.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
28.04.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
08.02.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AFK
05.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-0 HT 3-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
2-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
2.69 xG 2.58
31% Ball Possession 69%
18 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
222 Passes 575
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bochum had 31% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 69%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.69 to 2.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bochum and 2.33 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bochum 2-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bochum 28%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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