Wolfsburg 2-2 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.83
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.1
X/1
10%
7.32
X/2
15%
4.79
X/X
11%
5.42
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
22%
2.68
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.46/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.24
-10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -27%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.9 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
314 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
07.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
18.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
01.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-2 HT 2-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
30.04.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
11.12.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
2-2
AWAY Stuttgart
1.10 xG 1.85
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
159 Passes 482
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 24
5 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg and Stuttgart shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 30% of the ball to Stuttgart's 70%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 1.10 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.83 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart?

Wolfsburg 2-2 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 28%, draw 27%, Stuttgart 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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