Liverpool vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v PSG — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Liverpool
ŞMP
3-2
HT 2-1
PSG
ŞMP
Liverpool 0-1 PSG — Actual Match Statistics
PSG edged past Liverpool 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Liverpool had 46% of the ball to PSG's 54%, shots finished 19-21, expected goals 1.51 to 2.63.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liverpool and 1.33 for PSG.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs PSG?
Liverpool 0-1 PSG in the Champions League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs PSG?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 43%, draw 27%, PSG 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.