Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 SC Damash Gilanian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.07
2-3 Goals
33%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.4
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.5pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.25/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.60
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
1W-1D-1L
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
8 Corners 2
23.10.2024 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 0-0 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
21.04.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 HT 1-0 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian IRANAZ
08.11.2023 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 1-0 HT 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs SC Damash Gilanian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr edged past SC Damash Gilanian 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ario Eslamshahr as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ario Eslamshahr and 0.33 for SC Damash Gilanian.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 SC Damash Gilanian in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 59%, draw 28%, SC Damash Gilanian 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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