FC Bocholt 3-4 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.53/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.42
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bocholt
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
19.10.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 HT 3-1 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte edged past FC Bocholt 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sportfreunde Lotte found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

FC Bocholt 3-4 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bocholt 33%, draw 27%, Sportfreunde Lotte 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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