Newcastle Olympic 4-0 Adamstown Rosebuds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.0pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 16%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +36%
2.56/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.86
-3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Olympic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
18.06.2024 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
01.07.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNSW
10.04.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 3-1 HT 2-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
06.08.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 2-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
15.05.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 6-1 HT 5-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
POST-MATCH Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebuds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic ran out comfortable winners over Adamstown Rosebuds 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle Olympic and 1.33 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

What was the final score of Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Newcastle Olympic 4-0 Adamstown Rosebuds in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Olympic 64%, draw 19%, Adamstown Rosebuds 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5
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