Melbourne Knights 0-3 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
33%
+13.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.06/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.78
+29% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.46 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
258 Passes 342
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-2 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
03.05.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
13.08.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
06.05.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
22.07.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
23.04.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-1 HT 1-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder ran out comfortable winners over Melbourne Knights 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Knights at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.33 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder?

Melbourne Knights 0-3 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 47%, draw 22%, Dandenong Thunder 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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