Port Melbourne 1-3 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
45%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
45%
Away Win
63%
-18.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.85/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.56
-21% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +86%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hume City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
376 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-3 HT 0-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
02.03.2024 Hume City Hume City 4-0 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
12.08.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
06.05.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
28.05.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
26.02.2022 Hume City Hume City 3-3 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City got the better of Port Melbourne 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Port Melbourne and 2.17 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Hume City?

Port Melbourne 1-3 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 28%, draw 27%, Hume City 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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