Westerlo 2-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 Apr 2025

Westerlo
2-2 HT 1-1
Sporting Charleroi
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.16
X/2
15%
5.83
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
16%
3.56
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.69/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.25
+44% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 80%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.1 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.17 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
25.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.04.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
17.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-3 HT 1-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL

Westerlo 2-2 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.13 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
303 Passes 371
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and Sporting Charleroi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 46% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 54%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.13 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Westerlo and 2.17 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Westerlo 2-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 39%, draw 24%, Sporting Charleroi 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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