KuPS Ak. 2-1 JJK Jyvaskyla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 28% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 34%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.49
-30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
1W-1D-1L
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
15.09.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FINY
20.08.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
09.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-1 HT 0-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs JJK Jyvaskyla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. nicked a narrow win over JJK Jyvaskyla 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and on the day KuPS Ak. made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KuPS Ak. and 1.00 for JJK Jyvaskyla.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

KuPS Ak. 2-1 JJK Jyvaskyla in the FİN3 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 37%, draw 34%, JJK Jyvaskyla 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Ak.) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✗ Under 2.5
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