Jarun 0-0 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
45%
4-5
11%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
17%
+17.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
56%
-17.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 59%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.65
+135% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
06.10.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-1 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
26.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 1-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
03.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
0-0
AWAY Vukovar
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Vukovar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Jarun had 35% of the ball to Vukovar's 65%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jarun had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jarun and 0.75 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Vukovar?

Jarun 0-0 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jarun 35%, draw 27%, Vukovar 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vukovar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →