Excelsior 2-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Apr 2025

Excelsior
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Oss
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Excelsior vs FC Oss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.82
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.35
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
25.5
X/1
22%
3.9
X/2
4%
26.5
X/X
9%
10.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.0
2/2
8%
22.45
2/X
5%
30.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.5pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior v FC Oss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
2.07/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.76
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
25.4 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Excelsior vs FC Oss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Oss
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.87 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 3-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
18.03.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
06.08.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
23.01.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
10.11.2020 Excelsior Excelsior 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.12.2019 FC Oss FC Oss 0-2 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2

Excelsior 2-0 FC Oss — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
2-0
AWAY FC Oss
2.32 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
435 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior saw off FC Oss 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior had 60% of the ball to FC Oss's 40%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.32 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Excelsior and 1.00 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs FC Oss?

Excelsior 2-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 63%, draw 20%, FC Oss 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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