Telstar 1-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
20%
5.24
X/2
11%
6.81
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
12%
4.53
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +27%
1.57/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.28
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.0 Crosses 18.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
272 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
15.03.2024 Telstar Telstar 3-1 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
22.09.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
31.03.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
11.11.2022 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
21.03.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
1-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.58 xG 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Telstar vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and ADO Den Haag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Telstar had 44% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 56%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Telstar and 1.33 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Telstar 1-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Telstar 46%, draw 24%, ADO Den Haag 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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