Internacional 3-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.71
Over
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.73
2-3
42%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.94
6+
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.97
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
19%
3.85
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
11%
10.9
2/X
8%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.14/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/1.17
+43% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
16.9 Crosses 11.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
3-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
2.12 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
364 Passes 256
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional swept aside Atletico Nacional 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 57% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 43%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.12 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Atletico Nacional?

Internacional 3-0 Atletico Nacional in the Copa Libertadores on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Internacional 49%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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