Racing Club 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No Pick
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.2
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.4
6+
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.58
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.55
X/1
13%
3.66
X/2
6%
18.95
X/X
14%
6.21
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
8%
18.3
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
1-2
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.49 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
358 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past Racing Club 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Racing Club at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club had 56% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 44%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Racing Club.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Racing Club 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Copa Libertadores on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 56%, draw 24%, Atletico Bucaramanga 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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