Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Diosgyor v Kecskemeti TE — Team-Based Signals
Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Kecskemeti TE
MAC
2-3
HT 0-2
Diosgyor
MAC2
Diosgyor 2-1 Kecskemeti TE — Actual Match Statistics
Diosgyor edged past Kecskemeti TE 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Diosgyor found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Diosgyor had 59% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 41%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.58 — on chances, Kecskemeti TE could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Diosgyor and 0.83 for Kecskemeti TE.
What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE?
Diosgyor 2-1 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Kecskemeti TE?
Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 38%, draw 28%, Kecskemeti TE 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.