Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.66
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
8%
6.95
X/2
13%
4.71
X/X
15%
3.89
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.11
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.23/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.02
-7% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.8 Crosses 22.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 4-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
08.02.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 3-1 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POK
28.01.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
19.08.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.05.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
17.01.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
0-1
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
0.40 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
353 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes edged past Gil Vicente 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 49% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 51%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.40 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.83 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 29%, draw 30%, Vitoria Guimaraes 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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