Forfar Athletic 1-0 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
16%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
East Kilbride win — 48%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.26/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.01
-10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
0W-0D-3L
AWAY East Kilbride
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
31.01.2026 East Kilbride East Kilbride 3-1 HT 2-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
06.12.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-3 HT 0-3 East Kilbride East Kilbride İK2
30.08.2025 East Kilbride East Kilbride 5-0 HT 3-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic edged past East Kilbride 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was East Kilbride at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, East Kilbride led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Forfar Athletic and 3.67 for East Kilbride.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride?

Forfar Athletic 1-0 East Kilbride in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 24%, draw 28%, East Kilbride 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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