Dumbarton 2-1 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.42/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.66
-23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
191 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 140 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.02.2026 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
27.12.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
04.10.2025 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
15.07.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
11.05.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
07.05.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton edged past Stirling Albion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dumbarton and 1.00 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Dumbarton 2-1 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 56%, draw 23%, Stirling Albion 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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