Spartans 1-2 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 33% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Spartans win — 49%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.0pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.36/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.67
-18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stranraer
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.02.2026 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
22.11.2025 Spartans Spartans 0-4 HT 0-4 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
13.09.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
05.04.2025 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
01.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.12.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 HT 1-2 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer squeezed past Spartans 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartans and 2.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Stranraer?

Spartans 1-2 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spartans 49%, draw 24%, Stranraer 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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