Dumbarton 1-2 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.50/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.53
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
04.10.2025 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
15.07.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
11.05.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
07.05.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
18.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
25.03.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion squeezed past Dumbarton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dumbarton and 0.83 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Dumbarton 1-2 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 42%, draw 25%, Stirling Albion 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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