Forfar Athletic 4-2 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -18%
0.77/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.18
-40% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
04.10.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
08.03.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
11.01.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.11.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
31.08.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic saw off Elgin City 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Elgin City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.17 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Forfar Athletic 4-2 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 28%, draw 30%, Elgin City 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elgin City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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