Malaga vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS2
0-4
HT 0-1
Las Palmas
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Malaga
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
Malaga 2-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Malaga got the better of Las Palmas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Malaga made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Malaga had 44% of the ball to Las Palmas's 56%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Malaga and 1.67 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Malaga vs Las Palmas?
Malaga 2-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malaga 39%, draw 30%, Las Palmas 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.