Leganes 2-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.61
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
11%
7.87
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.2
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.69/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.41
+27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.2 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Albacete
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
364 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.01.2026 Albacete Albacete 1-3 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
04.12.2025 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İSPK
12.05.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
27.08.2023 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.01.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
02.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
2-1
AWAY Albacete
1.91 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
385 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes nicked a narrow win over Albacete 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leganes had 56% of the ball to Albacete's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.91 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Albacete?

Leganes 2-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leganes 47%, draw 26%, Albacete 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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