Burgos vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-1
Burgos
HAZ
Burgos 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos edged past Sporting Gijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 48% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 52%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.05 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burgos and 1.50 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
Burgos 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Burgos 43%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.