Las Palmas II 0-1 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -4%
1.64/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
+24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid III
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas II Las Palmas II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas II
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid III
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Las Palmas II vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III edged past Las Palmas II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Las Palmas II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Las Palmas II had 50% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 50%, shots finished 16-17.

What was the final score of Las Palmas II vs Real Madrid III?

Las Palmas II 0-1 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas II vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas II 46%, draw 24%, Real Madrid III 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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