Amorebieta 1-2 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
0.91/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.09
-26% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gernika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Gernika Gernika 1-0 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
1-2
AWAY Gernika
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika nicked a narrow win over Amorebieta 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Amorebieta at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amorebieta had 67% of the ball to Gernika's 33%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Gernika?

Amorebieta 1-2 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 46%, draw 27%, Gernika 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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