Gernika 1-0 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
1-0
AWAY Amorebieta
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika edged past Amorebieta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Gernika made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gernika had 41% of the ball to Amorebieta's 59%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Amorebieta?

Gernika 1-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gernika 35%, draw 31%, Amorebieta 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gernika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gernika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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