Colonia Moscardo 1-0 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.26/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.80
+3% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orihuela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2026 Orihuela Orihuela 1-1 HT 1-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-0
AWAY Orihuela
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo nicked a narrow win over Orihuela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Colonia Moscardo made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 44% of the ball to Orihuela's 56%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Orihuela?

Colonia Moscardo 1-0 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 35%, draw 33%, Orihuela 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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