Ebro 1-0 Beasain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Apr 2026

Ebro
1-0 HT 0-0
Beasain
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Beasain EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.23
-4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Beasain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
04.10.2025 Beasain Beasain 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebro Ebro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebro
1-0
AWAY Beasain
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ebro vs Beasain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebro nicked a narrow win over Beasain 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ebro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ebro had 50% of the ball to Beasain's 50%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Ebro vs Beasain?

Ebro 1-0 Beasain in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebro vs Beasain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ebro 45%, draw 28%, Beasain 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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