Forli 0-3 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Apr 2026

Forli
0-3 HT 0-1
Ascoli
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forli EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.01/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.04
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forli
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ascoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2025 Ascoli Ascoli 3-0 HT 2-0 Forli Forli İTC
29.03.2015 Forli Forli 2-1 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forli
0-3
AWAY Ascoli
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forli vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli swept aside Forli 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forli had 42% of the ball to Ascoli's 58%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forli and 2.00 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Forli vs Ascoli?

Forli 0-3 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forli vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Forli 20%, draw 25%, Ascoli 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ BTTS Yes
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