Gubbio 1-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.23/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.68
-1% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +86%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pianese
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 Pianese Pianese 1-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
07.03.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
25.10.2024 Pianese Pianese 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-1
AWAY Pianese
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio and Pianese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gubbio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Gubbio had 57% of the ball to Pianese's 43%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pianese led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gubbio and 1.33 for Pianese.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pianese?

Gubbio 1-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 41%, draw 26%, Pianese 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gubbio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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