Tuggeranong United 2-1 Queanbeyan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.38
No
51%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-19.0pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Queanbeyan City EU Bookmakers 53%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.32/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-10% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
233 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Queanbeyan City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12.07.2025 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-3 Queanbeyan City AVNPL
11.06.2025 Queanbeyan City 0-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
17.05.2025 Queanbeyan City 1-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United nicked a narrow win over Queanbeyan City 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Queanbeyan City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Queanbeyan City led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tuggeranong United and 1.33 for Queanbeyan City.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City?

Tuggeranong United 2-1 Queanbeyan City in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queanbeyan City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 29%, draw 23%, Queanbeyan City 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Queanbeyan City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queanbeyan City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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