FK Sarajevo 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.48/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.84
-62% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
06.10.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
10.09.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
11.04.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
11.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
25.02.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
2-1
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo squeezed past Zrinjski Mostar 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 41% of the ball to Zrinjski Mostar's 59%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.67 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar?

FK Sarajevo 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 41%, draw 30%, Zrinjski Mostar 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
11 Apr 2026
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