Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/0.00
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
29.11.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
06.11.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
24.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.12.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.09.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
0-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo edged past Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zrinjski Mostar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 55% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 45%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 1.00 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 43%, draw 32%, FK Sarajevo 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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