FK Sarajevo 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 31%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.25
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.11.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
06.11.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
24.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.12.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.09.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
26.02.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-2 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-1
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski Mostar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 25% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 57% of the ball to Zrinjski Mostar's 43%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.67 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar?

FK Sarajevo 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 40%, draw 34%, Zrinjski Mostar 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5
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BOSK More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup
25 Feb 2025
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