Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.48/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.78
+2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
10.09.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
11.04.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
11.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
25.02.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
29.11.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
0-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo nicked a narrow win over Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zrinjski Mostar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 60% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 40%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.50 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 49%, draw 26%, FK Sarajevo 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
14 Dec 2025
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